Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.006969 0.007838 0.008789 0.009906 0.011188 0.012616 0.014331
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005770 0.006993 0.008448 0.010317 0.012669 0.015552 0.019384
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004893 0.006220 0.007888 0.010158 0.013199 0.017178 0.022850
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004346 0.005743 0.007577 0.010194 0.013887 0.018992 0.026723
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003848 0.005248 0.007156 0.009989 0.014164 0.020213 0.029865
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003575 0.005020 0.007057 0.010196 0.015019 0.022326 0.034589
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003286 0.004733 0.006835 0.010181 0.015514 0.023927 0.038707
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002933 0.004316 0.006374 0.009742 0.015281 0.024324 0.040853
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002722 0.004090 0.006177 0.009689 0.015647 0.025722 0.044900
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002650 0.004071 0.006295 0.010150 0.016912 0.028788 0.052417
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002418 0.003776 0.005947 0.009792 0.016715 0.029233 0.055018
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002233 0.003544 0.005679 0.009544 0.016681 0.029960 0.058264
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002109 0.003408 0.005568 0.009575 0.017190 0.031831 0.064289
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002054 0.003384 0.005648 0.009963 0.018424 0.035296 0.074391
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001918 0.003210 0.005450 0.009812 0.018584 0.036602 0.079899
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001824 0.003100 0.005356 0.009846 0.019117 0.038753 0.087763
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001705 0.002939 0.005154 0.009648 0.019142 0.039796 0.093110
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001651 0.002888 0.005153 0.009848 0.020030 0.042883 0.104227
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001573 0.002789 0.005052 0.009834 0.020447 0.044942 0.113054
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001452 0.002602 0.004767 0.009412 0.019905 0.044649 0.115370
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001384 0.002510 0.004662 0.009360 0.020204 0.046445 0.123991
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001374 0.002531 0.004781 0.009803 0.021714 0.051497 0.143346
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001283 0.002385 0.004553 0.009459 0.021291 0.051494 0.147183